爭辯中的東南亞與中國關係：理論多元論的模擬與應用

字級

中文摘要

對於國際關係學界來說，「理論」被視為是用來解釋歷史、分析現勢、預測未來的重要知識工具。當前學界對於東南亞國家與中國的關係有許多不同的詮釋，但卻少有一套完整的說明來檢視理論工具與經驗事實之間的關係。有鑑於此，本文將以國際關係理論中的不同研究傳統作為立論基礎，試圖呈現由中國與東南亞關係所構成的可能區域場境。同時，本文將進一步據此分析構成東南亞與東亞區域和平與穩定發展的涉入國可能作法與策略。根據各種理論的爬梳後，本文認為，區域穩定的條件至少有五個：第一，美國需要提升對東南亞戰略部署承諾；第二，中國需減緩進攻性武器的發展與應用；第三，東南亞與中國經貿投資關係需改善並走向雙贏；第四，區域各國需要加速民主政治發展；第五，東協區域組織須能成為更有效的區域組織以協調歧異。反之，區域將難以走向和平與穩定。

Abstract

For scholars of international relations, “theory” is regarded as an important intellectual tool for explaining history, analyzing current conditions, and predicting the future. Current scholarship offers many different interpretations of the relationship between Southeast Asian countries and China, yet there is little comprehensive explanation that examines the relationship between theoretical tools and empirical facts. In light of this, this article takes different research traditions in international relations theory as its foundation and seeks to present possible regional scenarios constituted by relations between China and Southeast Asia. On this basis, it further analyzes possible actions and strategies of the actors involved in shaping peace and stable development in Southeast Asia and East Asia. After reviewing various theories, this article argues that there are at least five conditions for regional stability: first, the United States needs to strengthen its commitment to strategic deployment in Southeast Asia; second, China needs to slow the development and application of offensive weapons; third, economic, trade, and investment relations between Southeast Asia and China need to improve and move toward mutual benefit; fourth, countries in the region need to accelerate democratic political development; and fifth, ASEAN regional organizations must become more effective regional organizations capable of coordinating differences. Otherwise, the region will find it difficult to move toward peace and stability.

引用格式

陳宗巖（2018）。〈爭辯中的東南亞與中國關係：理論多元論的模擬與應用〉。《思與言》，56（4），195-237。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Publication/alDetailedMesh?docid=02588412-201812-202004070013-202004070013-195-237.

陳宗巖。〈爭辯中的東南亞與中國關係：理論多元論的模擬與應用〉。《思與言》，2018，56（4），頁 195-237，www.airitilibrary.com/Publication/alDetailedMesh?docid=02588412-201812-202004070013-202004070013-195-237.

陳宗巖。〈爭辯中的東南亞與中國關係：理論多元論的模擬與應用〉。《思與言》56（4）：（2018）：195-237。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Publication/alDetailedMesh?docid=02588412-201812-202004070013-202004070013-195-237.

陳宗巖（2018）〈爭辯中的東南亞與中國關係：理論多元論的模擬與應用〉，《思與言》，56（4），頁 195-237，https://www.airitilibrary.com/Publication/alDetailedMesh?docid=02588412-201812-202004070013-202004070013-195-237.

陳宗巖。〈爭辯中的東南亞與中國關係：理論多元論的模擬與應用〉。《思與言》。2018；56（4）；195-237。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Publication/alDetailedMesh?docid=02588412-201812-202004070013-202004070013-195-237.

@article{2018,
  author = {陳宗巖},
  title = {爭辯中的東南亞與中國關係：理論多元論的模擬與應用},
  year = {2018},
  journal = {思與言},
  volume = {56},
  number = {4},
  pages = {195-237},
  url = {https://www.airitilibrary.com/Publication/alDetailedMesh?docid=02588412-201812-202004070013-202004070013-195-237}
}