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期刊論文

Balance of Payments and Power: Assessing China's Global and Regional Interdependence Relationship

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外部連結

中文摘要

全球經濟失衡導致全球經濟資源分配發生變化。雖然有些人預見美國權力不可避免地衰退，另一些人則認為中國即將取得全球首要地位的說法被誇大。本文透過將國際收支（BOP）與權力分析相連結，試圖對此辯論作出貢獻。國際收支的不同面向被連結到基歐漢與奈的兩種相互依賴理想類型：現實主義與複合相互依賴。前者涉及全球總體經濟資源的分配，後者則強調對國家之間具體相互依賴情境的細緻考察。本文從這兩種理想類型情境出發，評估中國1997年至2012年的國際收支。研究發現，中國權力的成長主要表現在其作為初級產品全球主要買家的地位上升，以及其在區域中的軍事力量增長。然而，中國也面臨財富累積可能放緩與科技發展落後的問題。目前而言，中國即將取得全球首要地位的推測可能被誇大，但其在區域中的支配地位確實正在上升。

Abstract

Global economic imbalance leads to change in the global distribution of economic resources. While some foresee the inevitable decline of US power, others consider China's forthcoming global primacy to be an exaggeration. This paper seeks to contribute to the debate by linking balance of payments (BOP) to power analysis. Dimensions of BOP are connected to Keohane and Nye's two ideal-types of interdependence relationship: realist and complex interdependence. The former relates to the global distribution of aggregate economic resources; the latter emphasizes a detailed investigation of distinct interdependence situations between countries. China's BOP from 1997 to 2012 is assessed through the lens of both ideal-type scenarios. The findings show that China's growing power manifests principally in its rising status as a major global buyer in primary goods and its growing military strength in the region. However, China is confronted with possible slowdown in wealth accumulation and its lagging technological development. At present, the speculation of China's upcoming global primacy may be exaggerated, but its dominant position in the region is indeed on the rise.

引用格式

Chen, I. T.-y. (2014). Balance of payments and power: Assessing China's global and regional interdependence relationship. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, 14(2), 271-302. https://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcu001
Chen, Ian Tsung-yen. "Balance of Payments and Power: Assessing China's Global and Regional Interdependence Relationship." International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, vol. 14, no. 2, 2014, pp. 271-302, doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcu001.
Chen, Ian Tsung-yen. "Balance of Payments and Power: Assessing China's Global and Regional Interdependence Relationship." International Relations of the Asia-Pacific 14, no. 2 (2014): 271-302. https://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcu001
Chen, Ian Tsung-yen 2014, 'Balance of payments and power: Assessing China's global and regional interdependence relationship', International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 271-302, https://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcu001.
Chen, Ian Tsung-yen. Balance of payments and power: Assessing China's global and regional interdependence relationship. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific. 2014;14(2):271-302. https://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcu001
@article{Chen2014Balanceofpaymentsa,
  author = {Chen, Ian Tsung-yen},
  title = {Balance of payments and power: Assessing China's global and regional interdependence relationship},
  year = {2014},
  journal = {International Relations of the Asia-Pacific},
  volume = {14},
  number = {2},
  pages = {271-302},
  doi = {10.1093/irap/lcu001},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcu001}
}