← 回到研究成果

期刊論文

A Harmonized Southeast Asia? Explanatory Typologies of ASEAN Countries' Strategies to the Rise of China

字級
外部連結

中文摘要

面對崛起中的中國，有些學者認為東協國家將選擇扈從中國或制衡中國，另一些學者則認為它們會採取較溫和的政策，也就是「避險」。在考量這些選項時，東協國家必須評估其在區域經濟與安全結構中的個別利益。本文主張，每個東協國家都面對與中國不同組合的安全與經濟關係，而這些關係在形塑其政策回應上扮演重要角色。本文將其回應劃分為四個象限，每一格都可依據對中國威脅感知的高低（HT或LT），以及對中國經濟期待的正負（PE或NE）加以分類。因此，本文假設處於HT–NE情境的東協國家將制衡中國；處於LT–PE情境者將扈從中國；處於HT–PE或LT–NE情境者將對中國採取避險。越中（HT–NE）、柬中（LT–PE）與新中（HT–PE）三個案例研究支持上述假設。

Abstract

In the face of a rising China, some scholars have argued that ASEAN countries will choose to either bandwagon with or balance against China, while others believe they will respond with a more moderate policy known as 'hedging'. In considering these options, ASEAN countries must take into account their individual interests within the economic and security structure of this region. In this research, we argue that each ASEAN country confronts divergent sets of security and economic relations with China, which play a major role in shaping their policy responses. We can characterize their responses into four quadrants. Each cell can be categorized in terms of a high or low degree of threat perception (HT or LT) from China, as well as a positive or negative economic expectation (PE or NE) with China. We thus hypothesize that ASEAN countries in the HT–NE situation will balance against China; those in the LT–PE situation will bandwagon with China; those in the HT–PE or LT–NE situations will hedge against China. Hypotheses are supported by three case studies, Vietnam–China (HT–NE), Cambodia–China (LT–PE) and Singapore–China (HT–PE) relations.

引用格式

Chen, I. T.-y., & Yang, A. H. (2013). A harmonized Southeast Asia? Explanatory typologies of ASEAN countries' strategies to the rise of China. The Pacific Review, 26(3), 265-288. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2012.759260
Chen, Ian Tsung-yen, and Alan Hao Yang. "A Harmonized Southeast Asia? Explanatory Typologies of ASEAN Countries' Strategies to the Rise of China." The Pacific Review, vol. 26, no. 3, 2013, pp. 265-288, doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2012.759260.
Chen, Ian Tsung-yen, and Alan Hao Yang. "A Harmonized Southeast Asia? Explanatory Typologies of ASEAN Countries' Strategies to the Rise of China." The Pacific Review 26, no. 3 (2013): 265-288. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2012.759260
Chen, Ian Tsung-yen, and Alan Hao Yang 2013, 'A harmonized Southeast Asia? Explanatory typologies of ASEAN countries' strategies to the rise of China', The Pacific Review, vol. 26, no. 3, pp. 265-288, https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2012.759260.
Chen, Ian Tsung-yen, and Alan Hao Yang. A harmonized Southeast Asia? Explanatory typologies of ASEAN countries' strategies to the rise of China. The Pacific Review. 2013;26(3):265-288. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2012.759260
@article{Chen2013AharmonizedSouthea,
  author = {Chen, Ian Tsung-yen and Alan Hao Yang},
  title = {A harmonized Southeast Asia? Explanatory typologies of ASEAN countries' strategies to the rise of China},
  year = {2013},
  journal = {The Pacific Review},
  volume = {26},
  number = {3},
  pages = {265-288},
  doi = {10.1080/09512748.2012.759260},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2012.759260}
}